Golden State Force vs Outbreak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden State Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2017 |
OCB
0 - 6
GSF
7%
12%
81%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
GSF
4 - 0
FRA
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CFO
1 - 0
GSF
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
SDZ
2 - 3
GSF
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
SEA
3 - 4
GSF
9%
15%
77%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Outbreak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
SEA
3 - 1
OUT
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |