Goa vs Chennaiyin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
11º
2º
27
2º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GOA
1 - 0
EAS
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 1
GOA
35%
25%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
GOA
1 - 1
HYD
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
DEL
2 - 4
GOA
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
GOA
2 - 1
MBS
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chennaiyin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CHE
0 - 0
MBS
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MOH
2 - 2
CHE
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
CHE
2 - 2
DEL
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 4
BEN
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MUM
1 - 0
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |