1.FC Geesdorf vs ATSV Erlangen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
48.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
11º
18º
18º
41
6º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1.FC Geesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EIN
4 - 0
FCG
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCG
3 - 2
WUR
43%
22%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NEU
1 - 2
FCG
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 0
JRE
16%
17%
67%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DJK
7 - 2
FCG
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ATSV Erlangen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ATS
2 - 2
KOR
60%
20%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ELT
2 - 2
ATS
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ATS
5 - 3
SVD
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
ATS
20%
21%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ATS
4 - 1
WEI
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |