Galaxy vs Lesotho Defense Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
10º
16º
16º
62
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 0
GAL
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
GAL
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
MFC
42%
22%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 1
LFC
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 3
LMP
52%
26%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lesotho Defense Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LDF
1 - 1
MFC
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MSW
1 - 2
LDF
20%
21%
59%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LDF
1 - 0
LFC
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
LDF
3 - 1
MFC
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LDF
5 - 0
CCX
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |