FC Foz vs Alfenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Foz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
FOZ
83%
12%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FOZ
0 - 0
LAV
23%
22%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BAI
2 - 1
FOZ
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FOZ
1 - 1
INF
11%
18%
70%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAI
2 - 0
FOZ
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Alfenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 2
CSA
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
ALF
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 1
ALF
65%
19%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
GMA
28%
23%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |