Forward vs Sierre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
16%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCF
0 - 2
COL
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
VEY
3 - 0
FCF
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCF
1 - 2
GEN
75%
15%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FCS
3 - 1
FCF
17%
18%
65%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
UGS
0 - 0
FCF
51%
20%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sierre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
7 - 2
SIE
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SIE
1 - 1
FCA
15%
17%
68%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COL
3 - 1
SIE
80%
12%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SIE
1 - 3
VEY
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
3 - 1
SIE
41%
21%
38%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |