Forward vs Interstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCM
1 - 1
FCF
70%
15%
15%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
FCF
2 - 0
SBC
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SER
3 - 2
FCF
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCF
41%
22%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FCF
5 - 1
UGS
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Interstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
INT
3 - 4
CHI
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
INT
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
DAR
2 - 4
INT
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FCM
5 - 4
INT
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SBC
4 - 0
INT
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |