Forward vs Conthey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FCF
7 - 1
COL
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 4
FCF
16%
17%
67%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FCF
0 - 4
DAR
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
INT
3 - 1
FCF
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FCF
3 - 0
FCM
24%
20%
56%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Conthey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CON
4 - 1
CHI
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
4 - 2
CON
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CON
1 - 2
INT
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FCM
3 - 0
CON
79%
12%
9%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
SBC
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |