Forward vs Collex-Bossy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
30.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 4
FCF
16%
17%
67%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FCF
0 - 4
DAR
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
INT
3 - 1
FCF
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FCF
3 - 0
FCM
24%
20%
56%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SBC
2 - 3
FCF
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Collex-Bossy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
COL
4 - 0
FCA
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 3
COL
20%
18%
62%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
COL
3 - 1
UGS
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 4
COL
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
ODG
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |