Forward vs Chippis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DAR
5 - 3
FCF
13%
17%
70%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
FCF
0 - 1
INT
65%
18%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -3 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCM
1 - 1
FCF
70%
15%
15%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
FCF
2 - 0
SBC
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SER
3 - 2
FCF
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chippis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
COL
4 - 1
CHI
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CHI
4 - 1
DAR
63%
18%
20%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
INT
3 - 4
CHI
79%
13%
9%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 3
FCM
12%
15%
73%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SBC
3 - 1
CHI
77%
13%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |