FC Falke vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Falke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
WUR
1 - 1
FCF
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
FCF
1 - 0
ING
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
FEU
1 - 3
FCF
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
FCF
2 - 0
BAY
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
NEU
0 - 2
FCF
53%
24%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
BAY
1 - 0
NEU
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
AUG
1 - 0
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
BAY
1 - 2
UNT
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
SCS
2 - 0
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
BAY
4 - 0
MEM
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |