Etoile Sporting vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
ALL
6 - 0
FCE
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FCE
3 - 4
NEX
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCO
4 - 0
FCE
40%
23%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCE
2 - 1
FCT
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FCE
1 - 6
LYS
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 1
LIE
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LIE
3 - 3
ALL
68%
18%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FCF
1 - 3
LIE
10%
17%
73%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LIE
5 - 3
ALL
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEX
2 - 1
LIE
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |