Etoile Sporting vs Therwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FCE
1 - 6
LYS
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FCE
2 - 1
POR
25%
22%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
4 - 0
FCE
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LAU
2 - 2
FCE
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 3
BLA
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FCT
2 - 2
MOU
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LYS
7 - 0
FCT
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 3
ALL
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
3 - 0
FCT
50%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCT
2 - 1
FCF
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |