Viareggio vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 2
PIS
22%
27%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 2
FCV
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FCV
0 - 0
GRO
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 1
FCV
72%
19%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FCV
2 - 1
SSB
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
PIA
2 - 1
SSD
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SSD
1 - 0
VIT
32%
28%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
SSD
61%
22%
18%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SSD
3 - 3
VOL
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ACS
2 - 3
SSD
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |