Viareggio vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
67.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 0
FCV
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FCV
0 - 5
SAL
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FRO
2 - 1
FCV
72%
19%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ASG
2 - 0
FCV
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 3
LAQ
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASC
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ASG
1 - 2
LEC
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
PAG
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 2
LEC
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 4
PRG
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |