Viareggio vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
FCV
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 0
GAV
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FCV
4 - 2
USR
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 1
MAS
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ASG
3 - 1
FCV
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FBC
1 - 4
LAV
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LAV
0 - 0
SPO
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LAV
2 - 3
FEZ
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAV
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LAV
5 - 2
CHI
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |