Erzgebirge Aue vs Stuttgart II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BAY
2 - 3
ERZ
42%
26%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ERZ
3 - 0
BSV
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ERF
2 - 0
ERZ
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 0
WAC
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 0
SSV
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
STU
1 - 2
SSV
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
SVS
1 - 1
STU
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
STU
1 - 3
UNT
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
F95
1 - 1
STU
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
STU
3 - 0
SVS
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |