Erzgebirge Aue vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SSV
1 - 3
ERZ
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ERZ
4 - 4
MBO
16%
21%
63%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 1
SGF
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FCU
0 - 0
ERZ
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SVS
1 - 1
ERZ
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
STP
1 - 1
SVS
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
KAI
1 - 1
STP
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
STP
0 - 0
EBT
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
F95
2 - 1
STP
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
STP
3 - 2
HOL
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |