Erzgebirge Aue vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
39%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
ERZ
0 - 0
DIN
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 1
ERZ
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 0
KSC
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARB
2 - 2
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 4
SGD
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
MON
4 - 4
STP
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
STP
0 - 0
HAN
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
STP
1 - 2
FCU
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 2
STP
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
STP
5 - 0
KSC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |