Erzgebirge Aue vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
ERZ
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ERZ
3 - 0
F95
27%
27%
45%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SGD
1 - 1
ERZ
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ERZ
2 - 6
SGF
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCU
1 - 0
ERZ
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
STP
0 - 3
KOL
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VFR
0 - 1
STP
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
STP
3 - 0
COT
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
KAI
4 - 1
STP
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
STP
0 - 0
SVS
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |