Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis

Erzgebirge Aue Dynamo Dresden
58 ELO 64
3.4% Tilt 8.1%
1260º General ELO ranking 370º
58º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
32.5%
Erzgebirge Aue
27%
Draw
40.5%
Dynamo Dresden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.5%
Win probability
Dynamo Dresden
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erzgebirge Aue
-6%
+5%
Dynamo Dresden

Points and table prediction

Erzgebirge Aue
Their league position
Dynamo Dresden
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
20º
14º
69
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Elversberg
74
74
100%
Freiburg II
73
73
100%
VfL Osnabrück
70
70
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
70
70
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
69
69
100%
Dynamo Dresden
69
69
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
60
60
100%
1860 München
57
57
100%
Viktoria Köln
55
55
100%
Verl
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Ingolstadt 04
11º
47
47
11º
100%
MSV Duisburg
12º
46
46
12º
100%
B. Dortmund II
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Erzgebirge Aue
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Rot-Weiss Essen
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Hallescher FC
16º
41
41
16º
100%
SV Meppen
17º
37
37
17º
100%
VfB Oldenburg
18º
35
35
18º
0%
Zwickau
19º
35
35
19º
0%
Bayreuth SpVgg
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Erzgebirge Aue
Dynamo Dresden
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Erzgebirge Aue
Dynamo Dresden
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
0 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
58%
23%
19%
58 67 9 0
14 Aug. 2022
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 5
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
29%
25%
46%
59 63 4 -1
10 Aug. 2022
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
57%
23%
20%
59 67 8 0
07 Aug. 2022
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 1
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
24%
24%
52%
59 67 8 0
31 Jul. 2022
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 3
Mainz 05
M05
11%
18%
71%
60 82 22 -1

Matches

Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
2 - 3
SV Elversberg
ELV
40%
27%
33%
64 63 1 0
13 Aug. 2022
VIK
Viktoria Köln
2 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
40%
27%
34%
65 62 3 -1
10 Aug. 2022
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
2 - 0
Verl
VER
43%
26%
31%
64 60 4 +1
06 Aug. 2022
HAL
Hallescher FC
0 - 2
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
39%
27%
35%
63 60 3 +1
29 Jul. 2022
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
0 - 1
Stuttgart
STU
15%
20%
66%
64 79 15 -1