Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
BRE
4 - 0
ERZ
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 2
DAR
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ROS
1 - 2
ERZ
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
SSV
3 - 1
ERZ
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ERZ
2 - 0
HEI
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SGD
3 - 1
KSC
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
SSV
3 - 1
SGD
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SGD
1 - 0
F95
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 1
SGD
50%
25%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SGD
0 - 1
SVS
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |