Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
HOL
5 - 1
ERZ
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ERZ
2 - 1
PAD
22%
25%
54%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SVS
0 - 3
ERZ
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
ERZ
0 - 1
KOL
14%
22%
64%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ERZ
0 - 0
MSV
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SGD
1 - 1
MAG
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SGD
2 - 2
BOC
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DAR
2 - 0
SGD
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SGD
0 - 0
SSV
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
HSV
1 - 0
SGD
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |