Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 2
ERZ
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
ERZ
1 - 1
WEH
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
ERZ
1 - 0
EIN
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
WER
4 - 0
ERZ
23%
26%
52%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 0
MAG
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
WEH
2 - 2
SGD
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SGD
3 - 2
MAG
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 2
SGD
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SGD
0 - 1
COT
64%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ROS
1 - 3
SGD
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |