Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SGF
2 - 1
ERZ
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ERZ
3 - 2
FCU
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 0
ERZ
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ERZ
2 - 1
FSV
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
KSC
1 - 1
ERZ
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
SGD
4 - 2
MUN
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
COT
0 - 0
SGD
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
SGD
0 - 0
SVS
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
VFR
1 - 1
SGD
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
SGD
1 - 1
SGF
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |