Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
VFL
1 - 3
ERZ
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
LAS
3 - 3
ERZ
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
ERZ
1 - 1
DRE
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
PLA
2 - 4
ERZ
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1999 |
ERZ
0 - 1
LOK
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
SGD
1 - 1
LAS
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
BAB
1 - 1
SGD
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
SGD
3 - 0
SDC
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
ZWI
1 - 3
SGD
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SGD
4 - 0
CZJ
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |