Erzgebirge Aue vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ERZ
2 - 0
ROT
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
SAA
2 - 1
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ERZ
4 - 1
SGD
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
KOL
1 - 0
ERZ
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 0
KSC
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UNT
4 - 0
ROT
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 0
RWA
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SGF
3 - 2
ROT
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 0
MUN
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROT
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |