UCL Last 16
Global 3-4
Erzgebirge Aue vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
46.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1960 |
RAP
3 - 1
ERZ
88%
8%
4%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1959 |
YOB
2 - 1
ERZ
68%
16%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
ERZ
0 - 0
YOB
37%
21%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
YOB
2 - 2
ERZ
70%
15%
15%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1958 |
ERZ
4 - 0
GÖT
32%
21%
48%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
VIE
4 - 2
RAP
51%
20%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1960 |
RAP
3 - 1
ERZ
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
RAP
1 - 2
GRA
74%
14%
13%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
LAS
5 - 1
RAP
33%
22%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
RAP
2 - 2
AUS
63%
17%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |