Erzgebirge Aue vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
23.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
KÖL
0 - 2
ERZ
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SGD
1 - 1
ERZ
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ERZ
2 - 0
CHE
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
WEH
1 - 0
ERZ
27%
28%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ERZ
1 - 0
WER
51%
26%
22%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
PRE
2 - 3
SGD
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
WEH
0 - 2
PRE
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
PRE
1 - 2
MAG
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HOL
0 - 0
PRE
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PRE
3 - 0
COT
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |