Erzgebirge Aue vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
KÖL
2 - 0
ERZ
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ERZ
0 - 0
DRE
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
CHE
0 - 2
ERZ
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ERZ
3 - 0
KFC
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
LUB
4 - 1
ERZ
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 1
EBT
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 1
PAD
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
PAD
4 - 1
PRE
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
DRE
0 - 0
PAD
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
WER
0 - 2
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |