Erzgebirge Aue vs VfB Lübeck analysis

Erzgebirge Aue VfB Lübeck
56 ELO 65
-3.2% Tilt 1%
1260º General ELO ranking 2179º
58º Country ELO ranking 86º
ELO win probability
28.5%
Erzgebirge Aue
25.5%
Draw
46%
VfB Lübeck

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46%
Win probability
VfB Lübeck
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erzgebirge Aue
-13%
+18%
VfB Lübeck

ELO progression

Erzgebirge Aue
VfB Lübeck
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2001
KFC
KFC Uerdingen 05
1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
50%
25%
26%
56 56 0 0
10 Feb. 2001
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Verl
VER
39%
27%
35%
55 59 4 +1
02 Feb. 2001
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
2 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
51%
25%
25%
56 57 1 -1
13 Dec. 2000
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 2
Dresdner SC
DRE
44%
27%
29%
57 60 3 -1
08 Dec. 2000
WSV
Wilhelmshaven SV
2 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
43%
26%
31%
57 53 4 0

Matches

VfB Lübeck
VfB Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2001
LUB
VfB Lübeck
4 - 0
Sachsen Leipzig
SAC
63%
21%
16%
64 56 8 0
09 Feb. 2001
TEN
Tennis Borussia
0 - 3
VfB Lübeck
LUB
41%
25%
34%
63 60 3 +1
03 Feb. 2001
LUB
VfB Lübeck
1 - 1
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
51%
25%
24%
63 62 1 0
09 Dec. 2000
LUB
VfB Lübeck
1 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
40%
27%
33%
62 70 8 +1
02 Dec. 2000
LUB
VfB Lübeck
5 - 1
Lüneburger SK
LUN
67%
20%
13%
62 48 14 0