Erzgebirge Aue vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BOR
3 - 2
ERZ
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ERZ
3 - 0
DRE
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 0
ERZ
34%
27%
38%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ERZ
4 - 2
HAM
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
VER
0 - 0
ERZ
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 0
DIE
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
DIE
3 - 0
BOR
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
SGD
1 - 3
DIE
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
DRE
1 - 3
DIE
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
DIE
2 - 2
BAB
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |