Erzgebirge Aue vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARB
2 - 2
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 4
SGD
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
EBT
1 - 1
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
ERZ
0 - 0
SGF
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SVS
2 - 0
ERZ
52%
27%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
KSC
2 - 0
HAN
13%
21%
66%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
STP
5 - 0
KSC
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
KSC
1 - 2
FCU
25%
26%
50%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
WWO
0 - 2
KSC
12%
19%
69%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 1
KSC
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |