Erzgebirge Aue vs Kaiserslautern analysis

Erzgebirge Aue Kaiserslautern
70 ELO 71
-15.6% Tilt -5.8%
1258º General ELO ranking 281º
58º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
35.2%
Erzgebirge Aue
28.2%
Draw
36.6%
Kaiserslautern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.6%
Win probability
Kaiserslautern
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erzgebirge Aue
-6%
-5%
Kaiserslautern

ELO progression

Erzgebirge Aue
Kaiserslautern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2017
STU
Stuttgart
3 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
71%
19%
11%
70 81 11 0
30 Apr. 2017
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 1
Würzburger Kickers
WUR
44%
29%
26%
70 68 2 0
22 Apr. 2017
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 2
Hannover 96
HAN
15%
23%
62%
69 81 12 +1
15 Apr. 2017
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
55%
25%
20%
69 74 5 0
09 Apr. 2017
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 0
1860 München
MUN
40%
30%
31%
68 68 0 +1

Matches

Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2017
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
38%
29%
34%
72 73 1 0
29 Apr. 2017
KSC
Karlsruher SC
1 - 3
Kaiserslautern
KAI
29%
28%
43%
72 65 7 0
21 Apr. 2017
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 0
1860 München
MUN
47%
28%
25%
71 68 3 +1
16 Apr. 2017
FCU
Union Berlin
3 - 1
Kaiserslautern
KAI
55%
24%
21%
72 77 5 -1
08 Apr. 2017
KAI
Kaiserslautern
2 - 0
Greuther Fürth
SGF
34%
28%
38%
71 73 2 +1