Erzgebirge Aue vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGF
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WUR
0 - 3
ERZ
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ULM
2 - 0
ERZ
11%
17%
72%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ERZ
0 - 1
SGD
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
ERZ
3 - 1
MAG
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
HEI
1 - 1
AUG
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HEI
0 - 0
PAD
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
STP
4 - 2
HEI
25%
27%
49%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
HEI
2 - 0
EBT
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
WEH
1 - 0
HEI
33%
24%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |