Erzgebirge Aue vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
ARB
2 - 1
ERZ
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
ERZ
1 - 3
SGD
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
HOL
5 - 1
ERZ
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ERZ
2 - 1
PAD
22%
25%
54%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SVS
0 - 3
ERZ
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
HEI
0 - 2
KOL
25%
23%
52%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
BYM
5 - 4
HEI
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
MAG
0 - 0
HEI
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
HEI
3 - 1
STG
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
HEI
2 - 1
FCU
32%
25%
44%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |