Erzgebirge Aue vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
VER
0 - 0
ERZ
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ROT
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
WAT
2 - 1
ERZ
52%
23%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ERZ
2 - 0
PRE
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 2
ERZ
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
HAM
1 - 1
BOR
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
DRE
0 - 0
HAM
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
HAM
0 - 3
HOL
45%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
HAM
4 - 3
DIE
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
VER
2 - 0
HAM
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |