Erzgebirge Aue vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SVS
2 - 0
ERZ
52%
27%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HEI
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
WAA
0 - 0
ERZ
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 0
ERZ
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 1
TWE
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
SGF
0 - 2
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
SGF
4 - 1
HAN
19%
23%
58%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 1
SGF
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
3 - 0
SGF
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
WEH
2 - 2
SGF
17%
20%
63%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |