Erzgebirge Aue vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 1
SGD
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
BRE
4 - 0
ERZ
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 2
DAR
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ROS
1 - 2
ERZ
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
SSV
3 - 1
ERZ
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
S04
4 - 1
FCN
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 1
HOL
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 3
STP
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
SVS
1 - 2
FCN
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 0
ALT
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |