Erzgebirge Aue vs Nürnberg analysis

Erzgebirge Aue Nürnberg
68 ELO 77
-15.8% Tilt 1.2%
1260º General ELO ranking 535º
58º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
22.8%
Erzgebirge Aue
25.8%
Draw
51.4%
Nürnberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.4%
Win probability
Nürnberg
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erzgebirge Aue
-6%
+5%
Nürnberg

ELO progression

Erzgebirge Aue
Nürnberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2016
MUN
1860 München
6 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
39%
28%
33%
70 67 3 0
23 Oct. 2016
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 3
Union Berlin
FCU
28%
27%
45%
71 75 4 -1
14 Oct. 2016
STP
FC St Pauli
1 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
51%
25%
24%
70 71 1 +1
30 Sep. 2016
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 4
VfL Bochum
BOC
28%
28%
45%
70 73 3 0
24 Sep. 2016
KSC
Karlsruher SC
2 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
43%
28%
29%
70 71 1 0

Matches

Nürnberg
Nürnberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2016
STP
FC St Pauli
1 - 1
Nürnberg
FCN
28%
25%
47%
76 68 8 0
26 Oct. 2016
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 3
Schalke 04
S04
23%
23%
54%
77 86 9 -1
23 Oct. 2016
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 0
Hannover 96
HAN
32%
25%
43%
77 81 4 0
16 Oct. 2016
KSC
Karlsruher SC
0 - 3
Nürnberg
FCN
29%
27%
44%
75 71 4 +2
07 Oct. 2016
FCN
Nürnberg
1 - 2
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
69%
19%
12%
76 60 16 -1