Erzgebirge Aue vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
6 - 2
ERZ
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ERZ
1 - 3
FCU
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
STP
1 - 2
ERZ
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
ERZ
2 - 4
BOC
28%
28%
45%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KSC
2 - 0
ERZ
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
STP
1 - 1
FCN
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
FCN
2 - 3
S04
23%
23%
54%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCN
2 - 0
HAN
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
KSC
0 - 3
FCN
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 2
SSV
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |