Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 2
STP
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
ERZ
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ERZ
3 - 0
F95
27%
27%
45%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SGD
1 - 1
ERZ
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ERZ
2 - 6
SGF
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
COT
1 - 2
ING
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 1
ING
78%
15%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ING
0 - 2
SVS
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
KOL
0 - 1
ING
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
ING
2 - 0
VFR
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |