Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
UNT
2 - 2
ERZ
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 0
ING
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
OFC
0 - 0
ERZ
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGD
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
WUP
1 - 0
ERZ
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CZJ
6 - 0
BAY
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
SVS
2 - 2
CZJ
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
CZJ
2 - 1
WEH
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SVS
2 - 2
CZJ
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CZJ
4 - 3
UNT
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |