Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
ERZ
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SGD
3 - 1
ERZ
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
EBT
1 - 1
ERZ
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ERZ
1 - 0
WUP
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
ERZ
2 - 1
OFC
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CZJ
0 - 2
BAY
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BSV
3 - 1
CZJ
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CZJ
1 - 1
ERF
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
CZJ
1 - 4
S04
17%
22%
61%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CZJ
0 - 0
SSV
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |