Erzgebirge Aue vs SV Elversberg analysis

Erzgebirge Aue SV Elversberg
58 ELO 67
1% Tilt 10.6%
1260º General ELO ranking 294º
58º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
23.1%
Erzgebirge Aue
25.1%
Draw
51.8%
SV Elversberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.8%
Win probability
SV Elversberg
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erzgebirge Aue
-6%
+13%
SV Elversberg

Points and table prediction

Erzgebirge Aue
Their league position
SV Elversberg
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
20º
14º
74
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Elversberg
74
74
100%
Freiburg II
73
73
100%
VfL Osnabrück
70
70
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
70
70
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
69
69
100%
Dynamo Dresden
69
69
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
60
60
100%
1860 München
57
57
100%
Viktoria Köln
55
55
100%
Verl
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Ingolstadt 04
11º
47
47
11º
100%
MSV Duisburg
12º
46
46
12º
100%
B. Dortmund II
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Erzgebirge Aue
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Rot-Weiss Essen
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Hallescher FC
16º
41
41
16º
100%
SV Meppen
17º
37
37
17º
100%
VfB Oldenburg
18º
35
35
18º
0%
Zwickau
19º
35
35
19º
0%
Bayreuth SpVgg
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Elversberg
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Erzgebirge Aue
SV Elversberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
VER
Verl
3 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
46%
25%
29%
58 60 2 0
14 Oct. 2022
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 1
Hallescher FC
HAL
40%
26%
35%
58 58 0 0
08 Oct. 2022
VFB
VfB Oldenburg
1 - 3
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
47%
25%
28%
57 58 1 +1
30 Sep. 2022
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 0
SV Meppen
MEP
33%
26%
40%
56 59 3 +1
16 Sep. 2022
MUN
1860 München
3 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
70%
19%
12%
56 70 14 0

Matches

SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
ELV
SV Elversberg
4 - 1
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
45%
24%
31%
66 65 1 0
18 Oct. 2022
ELV
SV Elversberg
0 - 1
VfL Bochum
BOC
28%
23%
49%
67 76 9 -1
15 Oct. 2022
VIK
Viktoria Köln
0 - 2
SV Elversberg
ELV
34%
26%
41%
66 61 5 +1
08 Oct. 2022
ELV
SV Elversberg
3 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
61%
21%
18%
65 58 7 +1
01 Oct. 2022
ELV
SV Elversberg
1 - 2
Verl
VER
61%
21%
19%
66 58 8 -1