Erzgebirge Aue vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
WAC
1 - 2
ERZ
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
ERZ
1 - 1
PLA
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
COT
1 - 1
ERZ
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
ERZ
1 - 3
FCU
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
HZE
1 - 1
ERZ
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
BFC
0 - 0
LAS
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
SCC
0 - 0
BFC
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
WAC
2 - 2
BFC
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
BFC
3 - 1
PLA
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
COT
2 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |