Erzgebirge Aue vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
FSV
0 - 2
ERZ
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ERZ
0 - 2
HER
22%
26%
53%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ING
0 - 0
ERZ
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 2
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 5
ERZ
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 1
ARB
74%
17%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
F95
3 - 1
AAA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
4 - 0
ROT
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AUG
1 - 2
AAA
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 5
ERZ
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |