Erzgebirge Aue vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
KAI
2 - 0
ERZ
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ERZ
3 - 0
AUG
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
M05
4 - 1
ERZ
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SCF
2 - 0
ERZ
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
ERZ
2 - 2
HOF
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
AAA
3 - 2
BOC
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
AAA
2 - 2
HOF
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
OSN
2 - 2
AAA
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
AAA
2 - 0
SCF
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
MON
2 - 1
AAA
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -2 |