Erzgebirge Aue vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
STP
1 - 2
ERZ
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
ERZ
2 - 4
BOC
28%
28%
45%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KSC
2 - 0
ERZ
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ERZ
1 - 1
ARB
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SGD
0 - 3
ERZ
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FCU
2 - 1
HAN
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
FCU
1 - 0
FCL
33%
24%
43%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
FCN
2 - 0
FCU
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
FCU
2 - 0
STP
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
WUR
0 - 1
FCU
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |