Erzgebirge Aue vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 0
ERZ
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ERZ
2 - 1
FSV
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
KSC
1 - 1
ERZ
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ERZ
2 - 2
MUN
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
FCU
2 - 0
COT
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
SVS
2 - 1
FCU
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
FCU
1 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SGF
1 - 1
FCU
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
FCU
1 - 1
ING
55%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |