Erzgebirge Aue vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
VFR
2 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 1
PAD
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FSV
1 - 0
ERZ
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ERZ
2 - 0
KOL
24%
26%
51%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ERZ
3 - 0
EIN
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
FCU
2 - 1
KOL
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ING
2 - 1
FCU
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
FCU
1 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
SVS
2 - 0
FCU
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 1
FCU
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |